What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 70%, implying a 70% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above $2000

Closes Jul 15, 2026 (28d) 24h volume 2 Open interest 67 Event Get-in price of the World Cup Semi-Final - Mercedes-Benz Stadium

70%

implied YES probability

-16.0pp 24h

Last 4 days · High 96% · Low 53%

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.