What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 48%, implying a 48% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 15, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Financials

Above $2500

Closes Jul 15, 2026 (6d) 24h volume 147 Open interest 675 Event Get-in price of the World Cup Semi-Final - Mercedes-Benz Stadium

48%

implied YES probability

-19.0pp 24h

Last 18 days · High 95% · Low 37% · 7d -30.9pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.