What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 30%, implying a 30% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 03, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Mexico

Closes Aug 03, 2026 (47d) 24h volume 4.1K Open interest 168.3K Event World Soccer Cup Quarterfinals Qualifiers

30%

implied YES probability

+2.0pp 24h

Last 27 days · High 35% · Low 23% · 7d +3.6pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 29.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.