What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 38%, implying a 38% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Ecuador

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (46d) 24h volume 20.9K Open interest 55.6K Event World Soccer Cup Round of 16 Qualifiers

38%

implied YES probability

Last 18 days · High 48% · Low 34% · 7d -19.1pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.