What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 40%, implying a 40% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 02, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Japan

Closes Aug 02, 2026 (46d) 24h volume 4.8K Open interest 70.8K Event World Soccer Cup Round of 16 Qualifiers

40%

implied YES probability

-1.0pp 24h

Last 24 days · High 46% · Low 33% · 7d +5.1pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 38.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.