kalshi Sports

France wins by more than 1.5 goals?

Goal Diff Reg Time: France wins by more than 1.5 goals
Closes Jul 23, 2026 (14d) 24h volume 553.1K Open interest 636.3K Event France vs Morocco: Regulation Time Spread
34%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 5 days · High 37% · Low 34%
37%34%

Other outcomes in this event

AI analysis

The prediction market is currently pricing France winning by more than 1.5 goals against Morocco at a 34% probability, as reflected in the current YES price of 0.34. This assessment is informed by known facts such as France's strong performance throughout the tournament and their recent victories over Poland and Australia. The market is also considering Morocco's ability to cause an upset, having previously defeated Belgium. A significant change in the price would require new information that alters the perceived likelihood of France securing a decisive victory, such as an injury report or a shift in team strategy. As the event approaches, market participants will continue to reassess the situation and adjust their predictions accordingly.
Generated Jul 09, 2026

Top of book

BidSizeAskSize
34.0¢ 745557 35.0¢ 1627801
33.0¢ 1063959 36.0¢ 1629157
32.0¢ 475413 37.0¢ 756854
31.0¢ 553851 38.0¢ 193028
30.0¢ 308018 39.0¢ 37910
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 34.5¢

Trade on Kalshi

Open on Kalshi
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.