kalshi
Sports
France wins by more than 1.5 goals?
Goal Diff Reg Time: France wins by more than 1.5 goals
34%
implied YES probability
+1.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 5 days ·
High 37% ·
Low 34%
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing France winning by more than 1.5 goals against Morocco at a 34% probability, as reflected in the current YES price of 0.34. This assessment is informed by known facts such as France's strong performance throughout the tournament and their recent victories over Poland and Australia. The market is also considering Morocco's ability to cause an upset, having previously defeated Belgium. A significant change in the price would require new information that alters the perceived likelihood of France securing a decisive victory, such as an injury report or a shift in team strategy. As the event approaches, market participants will continue to reassess the situation and adjust their predictions accordingly.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 34.0¢ | 745557 | 35.0¢ | 1627801 | |
| 33.0¢ | 1063959 | 36.0¢ | 1629157 | |
| 32.0¢ | 475413 | 37.0¢ | 756854 | |
| 31.0¢ | 553851 | 38.0¢ | 193028 | |
| 30.0¢ | 308018 | 39.0¢ | 37910 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 34.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.