kalshi
Sports
France wins by more than 2.5 goals?
Goal Diff Reg Time: France wins by more than 2.5 goals
6%
implied YES probability
-9.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 4 days ·
High 17% ·
Low 15%
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing France winning by more than 2.5 goals against Morocco at a 15% probability, as indicated by the YES price of 0.15. This assessment is informed by known facts such as France's strong performance in recent matches and their possession-based style of play, which could lead to a high-scoring game. The current market price does not take into account any potential factors that may influence the outcome, including Morocco's ability to adapt to France's tactics and the impact of any injuries or suspensions on either team. A significant change in the probability of France winning by more than 2.5 goals would require a notable shift in these underlying factors, such as an unexpected tactical adjustment from Morocco or a key player injury affecting France's lineup.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.0¢ | 30865 | 6.0¢ | 106652 | |
| 4.0¢ | 90399 | 7.0¢ | 35079 | |
| 3.0¢ | 23508 | 8.0¢ | 14114 | |
| 2.0¢ | 51018 | 9.0¢ | 36587 | |
| 1.0¢ | 41949 | 10.0¢ | 14871 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 5.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.