What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 27, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Outright Winner

Closes Jul 27, 2026 (39d) 24h volume 11.0K Open interest 106.0K Event USA: Stage of Elimination

implied YES probability

Last 12 days · High 4% · Low 2% · 7d +100.0pp

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 3.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.