What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 32%, implying a 32% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 27, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Sports

Round of 32

Closes Jul 27, 2026 (39d) 24h volume 12.9K Open interest 54.1K Event USA: Stage of Elimination

32%

implied YES probability

+1.0pp 24h

Last 10 days · High 80% · Low 27% · 7d -8.3pp

Spread 3.0¢ · Mid 28.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.