kalshi
Sports
Will over 3.5 goals be scored?
Reg Time: Over 3.5 goals scored
22%
implied YES probability
-4.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 4 days ·
High 27% ·
Low 26%
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing in a 26% chance that over 3.5 goals will be scored during regulation time in the France vs Morocco match. This assessment is informed by known facts about the teams' recent performances and statistics, including their scoring averages and defensive strengths. The current price suggests that the market expects a relatively low-scoring game, with neither team likely to dominate possession or create numerous scoring opportunities. Any significant changes to this expectation would require either an improvement in one of the teams' attacking or defensive capabilities, or an unexpected shift in the style of play employed by the opposing team.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20.0¢ | 17517 | 21.0¢ | 84654 | |
| 19.0¢ | 91092 | 22.0¢ | 12278 | |
| 18.0¢ | 26432 | 23.0¢ | 8522 | |
| 17.0¢ | 19518 | 24.0¢ | 232 | |
| 16.0¢ | 21143 | 25.0¢ | 4300 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 20.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.