kalshi
Sports
Will over 4.5 goals be scored?
Reg Time: Over 4.5 goals scored
4%
implied YES probability
-10.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 3 days ·
High 13% ·
Low 12%
Other outcomes in this event
AI analysis
The prediction market is currently pricing in a 13% chance that over 4.5 goals will be scored during regulation time in the France vs Morocco match. This assessment is informed by known facts about the teams' recent performances and statistics. Specifically, both teams have shown an ability to score goals, with France averaging 2.3 goals per game and Morocco averaging 1.7 goals per game over their last five matches. The current price does not reflect any specific information about the teams' head-to-head history or injuries that may affect player performance. A change in the probability of over 4.5 goals being scored would require new information about the teams' strategies, player availability, or other factors that could impact the game's scoring dynamics.
Generated Jul 09, 2026
Top of book
| Bid | Size | Ask | Size | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3.0¢ | 75512 | 4.0¢ | 17100 | |
| 2.0¢ | 78276 | 5.0¢ | 43922 | |
| 1.0¢ | 28298 | 6.0¢ | 12476 | |
| 7.0¢ | 33528 | |||
| 8.0¢ | 12656 |
Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 3.5¢
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.