What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 26%, implying a 26% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jan 20, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Politics

United Nations

Closes Jan 20, 2029 (925d) 24h volume 10 Open interest 2.0K Event What will the U.S. withdraw from during the Trump Administration?

26%

implied YES probability

+5.0pp 24h

Last 28 days · High 54% · Low 21% · 7d +8.0pp

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.