What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 22%, implying a 22% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

$71.00 to $71.99

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (0d) 24h volume 37.7K Open interest 23.7K Event Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 10, 2026?

22%

implied YES probability

+13.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 15% · Low 5%

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 15.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.