What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Commodities

$74.00 to $74.99

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (1d) 24h volume 30.4K Open interest 16.4K Event Oil Price (WTI) on Jul 10, 2026?

implied YES probability

-7.0pp 24h

Last 5 days · High 13% · Low 3%

Spread 1.0¢ · Mid 9.5¢

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.