What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on May 06, 2029. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

kalshi Elections

Democratic by 1.0% to 1.99%

Closes May 06, 2029 (1031d) 24h volume 234 Open interest 1.1K Event 2028 popular vote margin of victory?

implied YES probability

Last 5 days · High 4% · Low 3%

BPOP Popular Inc

Open on Kalshi

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.