What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 29%, implying a 29% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Oct 17, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Ken Sim win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?

Ken Sim

Closes Oct 17, 2026 (121d) 24h volume $463 Open interest $11.0K Event Vancouver Mayoral Election Winner

29%

implied YES probability

+1.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 75 days · High 45% · Low 26% · 7d +1.8pp · 30d -16.4pp

How this market resolves

The 2026 Vancouver mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 17, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Vancouver as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Vancouver.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.