What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Nov 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket World

Will Blagomir Kotsev win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Blagomir Kotsev

Closes Nov 30, 2026 (165d) 24h volume $1.3K Open interest $27.6K Event Bulgaria Presidential Election

implied YES probability

-2.9pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 19% · Low 0% · 7d -91.4pp · 30d 0.0pp

How this market resolves

Presidential elections in Bulgaria are expected to be held in the Fall of 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next presidential election in Bulgaria. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission (Centralna izbiratelna komisia, CEC) (www.cik.bg/).

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.