What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 21%, implying a 21% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Finance

↑ $7,700

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume $365 Open interest $179.5K Event What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

21%

implied YES probability

-17.8pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 71% · Low 2% · 7d +50.3pp · 30d -21.4pp

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June 2026?

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.