What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 2%, implying a 2% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Finance

↑ $8,000

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume $571 Open interest $179.5K Event What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June?

implied YES probability

-1.9pp 24h

Last 91 days · High 12% · Low 1% · 7d -22.6pp · 30d -77.1pp

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of June 2026?

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.