polymarket
Politics
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
36%
implied YES probability
+3.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 94% ·
Low 32%
· 7d -59.3pp
· 30d -58.9pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a ballot initiative is certified to appear on the official statewide California ballot for the November 3, 2026 election, that proposes a one-time tax targeting individuals, households, or family units with wealth, assets, or net worth of at least $1 billion (USD or equivalent), by June 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET (the official cutoff date for new initiatives to be approved). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Certification means the initiative is officially approved by the California Secretary of State for a statewide ballot.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of California. If unavailable, a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Recent news mentioning this market
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Odds that a proposed billionaire tax appears on California ballots plunge on prediction markets
CNBC Top News · 11h ago
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