polymarket Politics

Will the federal gas tax be suspended by June 30, 2026?

June 30
Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $685 Open interest $8.1K Event Federal Gas Tax Suspended by...?
2%
implied YES probability
+1.2pp 24h

Price history

Last 36 days · High 24% · Low 1% · 7d -87.2pp · 30d -91.8pp
24%1%

How this market resolves

On May 11, 2026, Trump proposed suspending the federal gas tax. This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that would, at least temporarily, suspend the federal excise tax on gasoline is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire will not qualify. The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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