What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 67%, implying a 67% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Victor Marx win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?

Victor Marx

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $20 Open interest $5.5K Event Colorado Governor Republican Primary Winner

67%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 85 days · High 75% · Low 40% · 7d -4.5pp · 30d -13.1pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Colorado, scheduled to take place on June 30, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Colorado Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Colorado Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.