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UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (174d) 24h volume $3.3K Open interest $9.6K Event UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?
28%
implied YES probability
-3.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 17 days · High 56% · Low 30% · 7d -26.2pp
56%30%

How this market resolves

On June 14, 2026, the United States and Iran announced a written diplomatic agreement, which stated in Clause 14 that it would culminate in a “final deal” to be endorsed by a binding United Nations Security Council resolution. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United Nations Security Council formally adopts a resolution that endorses, approves, implements, gives legal effect to, or incorporates such a “final deal” by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The “final U.S.-Iran deal” refers to a diplomatic agreement identified as the final deal contemplated by the June 14, 2026, memorandum of understanding, either in the text of the resolution, official United States or Iranian communications, or by a consensus of credible reporting. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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