polymarket
Technology
Next Mythos-Class Model released by September 30, 2026?
September 30
75%
implied YES probability
+3.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 30 days ·
High 81% ·
Low 55%
· 7d +9.4pp
How this market resolves
On June 9, 2026, Anthropic released the Mythos-class model Claude Fable 5.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic releases the next Mythos-class model and makes it available to the general public by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Any model whose official name includes “Mythos,” or that Anthropic officially describes as a “Mythos-class” model or similar, will qualify for this market’s resolution.
For this market to resolve to "Yes," the qualifying model (as defined above) must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as being accessible to the general public.
If a qualifying model is made publicly accessible and labeled with the relevant version name within the company’s official website, this will qualify as “publicly announced”. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public under the rules will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
-
Nvidia Stock Has Only Gained 5% So Far in 2026. History Is Crystal Clear on Where the Stock Is Headed Next.
Yahoo Finance · 45 min ago
-
Nvidia Stock Has Only Gained 5% So Far in 2026. History Is Crystal Clear on Where the Stock Is Headed Next.
Motley Fool · 1h ago
-
Fundstrat’s Tom Lee: AI Is a Once in a Lifetime Story – Why Easing Inflation in H2 2026 Could Fuel the Next Rally
Yahoo Finance · 2h ago
Trade on Polymarket
Open on Polymarket
Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate
public order-book and trading data for analysis.
Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.