polymarket
Politics
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
6%
implied YES probability
-2.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 91 days ·
High 20% ·
Low 4%
· 7d +44.4pp
· 30d -53.6pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Ghislaine Maxwell receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between July 23, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent news mentioning this market
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Trump Returns on Old AF1 Instead of Qatari Jet | Balance of Power: Late Edition 07/08/2026
Bloomberg Politics · 19h ago
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