polymarket
Politics
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
36%
implied YES probability
+14.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 78 days ·
High 55% ·
Low 22%
· 7d +35.2pp
· 30d +17.7pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Pete Hegseth ceases to be U.S. Secretary of Defense for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Pete Hegseth's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Pete Hegseth and the U.S. government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Recent news mentioning this market
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U.S. defense secretary to push burden-sharing message at NATO gathering
Seeking Alpha · 8h ago
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Hegseth to Push Burden-Sharing at NATO Defense Meeting This Week
Bloomberg Politics · 9h ago
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