polymarket
Politics
Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?
Rafael Grossi
46%
implied YES probability
+2.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 80 days ·
High 60% ·
Low 45%
· 7d +2.2pp
· 30d -17.1pp
How this market resolves
A selection process is currently being held to choose the next Secretary-General of the United Nations, with the current term set to end on 31 December 2026.
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Secretary-General of the United Nations following the 2026 United Nations Secretary-General selection. A recommendation by the United Nations Security Council alone will not be sufficient for resolution. Any interim or caretaker Secretary-General will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Secretary-General is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
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