polymarket
Politics
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 31?
July 31
98%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 15 days ·
High 99% ·
Low 86%
· 7d +1.8pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the next Prime Minister of the UK is officially appointed by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed by the United Kingdom Monarch. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister is appointed, or Keir Starmer is re-appointed as Prime Minister without another intervening Prime Minister, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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