What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 1%, implying a 1% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Business

Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Microsoft

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (13d) 24h volume $615 Open interest $9.4K Event 3rd largest company end of June?

implied YES probability

-0.7pp 24h

Price history

Last 33 days · High 16% · Low 0% · 7d -18.2pp · 30d -74.7pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

Related stocks

MSFT Microsoft Corp

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.