polymarket
Politics
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?
December 31
55%
implied YES probability
-4.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 69% ·
Low 50%
· 7d -2.5pp
· 30d -8.6pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cuba’s current leader, Miguel Díaz-Canel, is removed from power for any length of time by the listed date, ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purposes of this market, Díaz-Canel will be considered to be removed from power if he resigns, is detained, or otherwise ceases to hold (or is publicly reported to be unable to perform the duties of) the office of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba, which is widely regarded as Cuba’s top political post, within this market’s timeframe.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Other outcomes in this event
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