What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 99%, implying a 99% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Bruce Blakeman win the 2026 New York Governor Republican primary election?

Bruce Blakeman

Closes Jun 23, 2026 (5d) 24h volume $444 Open interest $14.1K Event New York Governor Republican Primary Winner

99%

implied YES probability

+1.3pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 99% · Low 88% · 7d +2.4pp · 30d +3.9pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New York, scheduled to take place on June 23, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New York Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.