polymarket Politics

Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?

Closes Jan 03, 2027 (199d) 24h volume $165 Open interest $6.2K Event Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends?
24%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 89 days · High 37% · Low 17% · 7d +59.1pp · 30d +42.9pp
37%17%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.