polymarket Politics

Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?

July 2
Closes Jul 03, 2026 (15d) 24h volume $646 Open interest $6.0K Event Will Spencer Pratt concede by…?
51%
implied YES probability
-2.0pp 24h

Price history

Last 10 days · High 74% · Low 48% · 7d -31.1pp
74%48%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Spencer Pratt concedes in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections by the listed date (Pacific Time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral elections, will not be the next Mayor of Los Angeles, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. Only public statements from this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Other outcomes in this event

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