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Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after June 2026 meeting?
Increase
0%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 85 days ·
High 50% ·
Low 0%
· 7d +60.0pp
· 30d +23.1pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve according to the change in the target for the Selic rate as a result of the monetary policy decision of the Bank of Brazil's June 2026 meeting versus the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Brazil after its June 2026 policy meeting, currently scheduled for June 15-16, as listed on the official Bank of Brazil calendar: https://www.bcb.gov.br/en/about/bcb-calendar
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Brazil's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Other outcomes in this event
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