What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 3%, implying a 3% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Dec 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (196d) 24h volume $966 Open interest $316.1K Event Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 6% · Low 3% · 7d +1.5pp · 30d -26.1pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if incontrovertible proof is publicly revealed that Jeff Epstein, the New York financier, is still alive between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.