What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 99%, implying a 99% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 23, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Kathy Hochul win the 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary?

Kathy Hochul

Closes Jun 23, 2026 (5d) 24h volume $774 Open interest $7.3K Event New York Democratic Governor Primary Winner

99%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 91 days · High 99% · Low 93% · 7d -1.1pp · 30d +0.9pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for Governor of New York. If no 2026 New York Democratic Gubernatorial Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New York Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.