polymarket Economics

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Closes Dec 31, 2026 (174d) 24h volume $112 Open interest $5.1K Event Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?
7%
implied YES probability

Price history

Last 57 days · High 32% · Low 7% · 7d -25.0pp · 30d -6.2pp
32%7%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.