polymarket
Politics
US federally charges Cuba leader Miguel Diaz-Canel?
12%
implied YES probability
-2.5pp 24h
Price history
Last 84 days ·
High 38% ·
Low 6%
· 7d +123.1pp
· 30d -30.9pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of Cuban President Miguel Diaz-Canel between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.