polymarket Politics

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

June 15
Closes Apr 30, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $401.5K Open interest $2.0M Event US x Iran diplomatic meeting by...?
3%
implied YES probability
+2.9pp 24h

Price history

Last 31 days · High 74% · Low 0% · 7d -39.0pp · 30d -94.2pp
74%0%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Other outcomes in this event

July 31
98% YES
24h vol $90.2K
June 30
96% YES
24h vol $242.9K
June 21
94% YES
24h vol $105.0K
June 19
93% YES
24h vol $135.1K
June 18
22% YES
24h vol $59.6K
June 17
12% YES
24h vol $86.7K
June 16
6% YES
24h vol $169.4K
April 21
0% YES
24h vol —

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.