What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 11, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Chris Madel win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?

Chris Madel

Closes Aug 11, 2026 (54d) 24h volume $48 Open interest $14.3K Event Minnesota Governor Republican Primary Winner

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 75 days · High 1% · Low 0% · 7d 0.0pp · 30d -80.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Minnesota, scheduled to take place on August 11, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Minnesota Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Minnesota Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.