What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 0%, implying a 0% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 10, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from July 3 to July 10, 2026?

180-199

Closes Jul 10, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $2.5K Open interest $15.6K Event Donald Trump # Truth Social posts July 3 - July 10, 2026?

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 10 days · High 16% · Low 0% · 7d -98.1pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between July 3, 12:00 PM ET and July 10, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.