What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 6%, implying a 6% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jun 30, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

Closes Jun 30, 2026 (12d) 24h volume $4.3K Open interest $13.9K Event Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31?

implied YES probability

-1.2pp 24h

Price history

Last 44 days · High 18% · Low 3% · 7d +60.9pp · 30d -10.3pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the sitting Romanian Chamber of Deputies and Senate are dissolved by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.