What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 4%, implying a 4% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Aug 18, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Will Tara Nethercott win the 2026 Wyoming Governor Republican primary election?

Tara Nethercott

Closes Aug 18, 2026 (61d) 24h volume $115 Open interest $3.3K Event Wyoming Governor Republican Primary Winner

implied YES probability

+3.1pp 24h

Price history

Last 85 days · High 14% · Low 0% · 7d +4.0pp · 30d +766.7pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of Wyoming, scheduled to take place on August 18, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 Wyoming Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Wyoming Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Other outcomes in this event

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.