polymarket
Politics
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
6%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 7% ·
Low 6%
· 7d 0.0pp
· 30d +18.2pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Recent news mentioning this market
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Trump Speaks at G7 Summit in France; Oil Drops to Three-Month Low | Bloomberg Brief 6/16/2026
Bloomberg Markets · 16h ago
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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.