polymarket Politics

Will the Republican Party win the ND-AL House seat?

Republican Party
Closes Nov 03, 2026 (138d) 24h volume $111 Open interest $2.6K Event ND-AL House Election Winner
94%
implied YES probability
-1.7pp 24h

Price history

Last 91 days · High 96% · Low 92% · 7d -1.5pp · 30d -1.6pp
96%92%

How this market resolves

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ND-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026. ​A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.