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Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
45%+
38%
implied YES probability
+3.0pp 24h
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 76% ·
Low 12%
· 7d -41.6pp
· 30d +88.6pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Anthropic Claude model with a score of at least the specified score by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Other outcomes in this event
Recent news mentioning this market
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Prediction market traders speculate Anthropic will restore access quickly to AI model after Trump admin directed it to limit reach
CNBC Top News · 11h ago
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Wipro launches AI center for Anthropic’s Claude in Bengaluru
Seeking Alpha · 14h ago
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The 'Magnificent 7' is so last year. SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic are ushering in the FAB 10.
Yahoo Finance · 15h ago
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