polymarket
Politics
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?
6%
implied YES probability
Price history
Last 90 days ·
High 14% ·
Low 6%
· 7d -13.3pp
· 30d -38.1pp
How this market resolves
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives by simple majority vote to approve or pass one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump, between July 24, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Recent news mentioning this market
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Trump Speaks at G7 Summit in France; Oil Drops to Three-Month Low | Bloomberg Brief 6/16/2026
Bloomberg Markets · 16h ago
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