What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 48%, implying a 48% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on —. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Kash Patel out by December 31?

December 31

Closes — 24h volume $1.1K Open interest $190.7K Event Kash Patel out by...?

48%

implied YES probability

-1.5pp 24h

Price history

Last 79 days · High 87% · Low 43% · 7d -9.3pp · 30d -28.5pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Kash Patel ceases to be the Director of the Federal Bureau of Investigation for any period of by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Patel's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.