What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 42%, implying a 42% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Jul 12, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Sports

UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis

Closes Jul 12, 2026 (2d) 24h volume $14.9K Open interest $74.0K Event UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)

42%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 13 days · High 46% · Low 43% · 7d 0.0pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Paddy Pimblett" if Paddy Pimblett is officially declared the winner of the fight against Benoît Saint Denis at UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2, scheduled for July 11, 2026. It will resolve to "Benoît Saint Denis" if Benoît Saint Denis is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 25, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Other outcomes in this event

Trade on Polymarket

Open on Polymarket

Frenzy Capital does not execute trades on prediction markets — we aggregate public order-book and trading data for analysis.

Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.