What is the current probability?

As of the latest cache refresh, the YES contract trades at 27%, implying a 27% chance of YES.

When does this market close?

This market closes on Mar 31, 2026. After close the venue settles the contract based on the official resolution source.

polymarket Politics

Weed rescheduled by December 31?

December 31

Closes Mar 31, 2026 (0d) 24h volume $2.1K Open interest $81.0K Event Weed rescheduled by...?

27%

implied YES probability

Price history

Last 90 days · High 64% · Low 24% · 7d +1.3pp · 30d +10.7pp

How this market resolves

This market will resolve to "Yes" if marijuana is rescheduled down from I to any other level (or is unscheduled completely) by the Drug Enforcement Agency of the United States (https://www.dea.gov/drug-information/drug-scheduling), by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Other outcomes in this event

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Prediction market data reflects speculative event probabilities, not guaranteed outcomes. This is not investment advice. See Terms §17.